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6th Nov, 2025 12:00 AM
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Can Age, BMI, and Steroid Use Predict Urticaria Progression?

TOPLINE:

Among patients with new-onset urticaria, 75% recovered within a week, whereas 17% progressed to chronic urticaria, and higher age at onset, elevated BMI, and early prednisolone use were associated with the development of chronic urticaria.

METHODOLOGY:

  • Researchers analyzed data of 16,892 patients (mean age, 30 years; 62% women) with new-onset urticaria from a Dutch database between 2010 and 2020 to examine disease duration patterns and potential determinants of chronic urticaria.
  • Patients were classified as having acute urticaria if the time between the first and last consultation was 6 weeks or less and as having chronic urticaria if consultations were more than 6 weeks apart.

TAKEAWAY:

  • Overall, 75% of patients experienced urticaria lasting less than 1 week, and 83% were classified as having acute urticaria.
  • Chronic urticaria developed in 17% of patients, with a median illness duration of 1 year and a median of four primary care visits for urticaria.
  • Higher age at urticaria onset (log-transformed adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.15; 95% CI, 1.10-1.19), BMI ≥ 25 (aOR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.20-1.56), and prednisolone use within the first week (aOR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.06-1.83) were associated with the development of chronic urticaria.

IN PRACTICE:

“This large primary care-based study provides valuable insights into the course of urticaria in an unselected population, demonstrating that most patients recover quickly within 1 week, while a notable 17% develop chronic urticaria,” the authors wrote. “In patients with symptoms persisting beyond 1 week and presenting with the found early determinants of CU [chronic urticaria], a more proactive approach may be considered, as well as timely treatment escalation, referral, and expectation management,” they added.

SOURCE:

Reineke Soegiharto, with Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands, was the corresponding author of the study, which was published online on October 30, 2025, in Clinical & Experimental Allergy. 

LIMITATIONS:

This study was limited by its reliance solely on general practitioner consultation data (excluding self-managed cases), the absence of diagnostic codes to distinguish acute from chronic urticaria, and the inability of the International Classification of Primary Care to differentiate spontaneous from inducible urticaria.

DISCLOSURES:

Several authors reported receiving institutional sponsorship for research or consultancy, research funding, speaker fees, and reimbursement for attending or chairing a symposium from or serving as members advisory boards for various pharmaceutical companies.

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This article was created using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication.


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